Today's NBA Picks
Dallas at
Boston
Pick - Prop
Boston Celtics First Half -3.5 (-110)
The debate of “Rust vs. Rest” is on full display in Game 1 of the NBA Finals, with the Celtics shelved for 10 days between games. However, Boston is the best first-half bet in basketball, owning a 63-32-1 record against the 1H spread on the season (+25.3 units). During the playoffs, Boston is scoring 59.4 points in the opening 24 minutes while Dallas has been slower out of the blocks, averaging less than 53 1H points in the postseason. The Garden will be rocking for Game 1 and I like the Celtics to cover the -3.5 1H spread – which is already up to -4 at sharper books.
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Jason Logan - Pick Made 4 days, 14 hrs, 42 min ago.
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Pick - Prop
Daniel Gafford o8.5 points (+104)
Gafford has unlocked attacks on the rim further than anyone running partner in Luka Doncic’s NBA career. It is effective enough, Boston has not seen anything like it this postseason. Gafford scored at least 10 points in four of the five games against the Timberwolves, who have better interior defense than the Celtics do, and he has topped this points prop in nine of 11 games in the last two rounds. Kristaps Porzingis may be healthy, but Doncic will draw him into pick-and-roll coverages plenty, leaving Gafford available for lobs or offensive rebounds. This points prop should be at least a bucket higher.
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Douglas Farmer - Pick Made 2 days, 9 hrs, 36 min ago.
Best Odds +104
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Dallas at
Boston
Pick - Prop
Derrick White o2.5 made 3s (-125)
Dallas’s defense has obvious matchups for Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown and Kristaps Porzingis. But to slow Derrick White, the Mavs will have to rely on Luka Doncic or Kyrie Irving, not exactly defensive aces. White’s usage rate has climbed this postseason, up to 20.3% since Porzingis’s injury. That usage has shown most from deep, taking 2.2 more 3s per game than he did in the regular season. Hitting more than 40% of those looks, White should take advantage of his offensive-minded defenders.
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Douglas Farmer - Pick Made 1 day, 8 hrs, 51 min ago.
Best Odds -125
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